Friday, June 6, 2008

"Fair Reflection" How the Democratic Process Ignored Fair Reflection.

The visual just below illustrates the OPPOSITE of the concept of "Fair Reflection". When voters have all day to vote, and vote in the privacy of a voting booth, the vote totals from that particular state more accurately reflect the will of the popular vote in that state. When Voters didn't have all day to vote, could only vote in restricted locations and within a restricted time period, and had to vote in public rather than the privacy of a voting booth, Barack Obama did so well the numbers didn't accurately match up with the actual popular vote of that state for each candidate. This can be called "Fair Reflection, Denied".
Above is the ridiculous margin of victory for Barack Obama in the Idaho Caucus that had nothing to do with reality, but much to do with back room deals, the very thing Barack Obama claims to want to "change". Barack Obama succeeded by playing the very style of Old School politicking that Barack Obama claims he would "change". Below is the Result of the Idaho Primary, notice how much closer the final results are?
The Primary vote reveals a much closer 56%-37% margin of victory, Barack Obama's ridiculously unrepresentative win from the caucus vote was a 70%-17% margin of victory. Hillary enjoyed a 440% increase in her vote total in the primary vote, Barack Obama had a 140% increase in his primary vote total. The Primary Vote swing is 43% in Hillary's favor.

Up Above is the Nebraska Primary and Caucus Results. After losing in the Nebraska Caucus by a 68% to 32% margin of victory, Hillary Clinton once again closed the gap losing by only two percentage points, 49% to 47% in the Nebraska Primary. The Nebraska primary vote represents a 38% shift in the popularity of both candidates towards Hillary Clinton.

The Washington Primary offers almost an identical shift in numbers as the Nebraska primary. Hillary Clinton once again closed the gap from an unrealistic 68%-31% margin of victory in the Washington Caucus to 51% to 46% in the Washington Primary. The shift in popularity is 32% towards Hillary Clinton. (I recall these numbers used to be 50%-47%, but we'll go with the 51%-46%).

Yes, I believe in Fair Reflection, unfortunately other than a few intellectuals on Hillary Clinton's side, such as Harold Ickies, the phrase Fair Reflection is meaningless to the democratic party higher ups.


Andrea Moro said...

You can find a similar analisys posted on my web site

The Smoking Cupcake said...

RFK is rolling in his grave. This is Boyce singing off...